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Brad Armendt

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SHPRS Philosophy Faculty
Associate Professor
Faculty, TEMPE Campus, Mailcode 4302
School of Life Sciences
Associate Professor
Faculty, TEMPE Campus, Mailcode 4302
Center for Social Dynamics and Complexity (CSDC)
Assoc Professor
Faculty, TEMPE Campus, Mailcode 4302
School for the Future of Innovation in Society > Related Faculty
Assoc Professor
Faculty, TEMPE Campus, Mailcode 4302
Biosocial Complexity Initiative
Assoc Professor
Faculty, TEMPE Campus, Mailcode 4302
Biography

Brad Armendt is an associate professor in the School of Historical, Philosophical and Religious Studies. He is affiliated with the History and Philosophy of Science program in the School of Life Sciences. He is also affiliated with the Center for Biology and Society, the Center for Social Dynamics and Complexity, and the School for the Future of Innovation in Society. 

Professor Armendt's research centers on rational decision making and the epistemology of rational belief. Beliefs and inferences about causation have particular significance to both areas, and he is interested in causation, causal models, and causal inference. Another interest is in understanding social phenomena—patterns of behavior, norms, networks, communication systems—as complex products and conditions of interactions among individuals. He is particularly interested in the work of the remarkable early 20th century philosopher, Frank Ramsey.

CV
Binary Data Curriculum Vitae
Education
  • Ph.D. Philosophy, University of Illinois at Chicago 1983
  • B.A. Philosophy and Mathematics, Rice University 1975
Research Interests

Professor Armendt's research centers on rational decision making and the epistemology of rational belief. Beliefs and inferences about causation have particular significance to both areas, and he is interested in causation, causal models, and causal inference. Another interest is in understanding social phenomena—patterns of behavior, norms, networks, communication systems—as complex products and conditions of interactions among individuals. He is particularly interested in the work of the remarkable early 20th century philosopher, Frank Ramsey.

Publications
  • Brad Armendt. On Risk and Rationality. Erkenntnis (2014).
  • Brad Armendt. Pragmatic Interests and Imprecise Belief. Philosophy of Science (2013).
  • Armendt, Brad and Zollman, Kevin. Skyrmsfest, special issue of Philosophical Studies, including Introduction (2010).
  • Brad Armendt. Stakes and Beliefs. Philosophical Studies (2010).
  • Brad Armendt. Stake-Invariant Belief. Acta Analytica (2008).
  • Armendt, Brad  Frank Ramsey. The Philosophy of Science, An Encyclopedia (2006).
  • Armendt, Brad  Frank Ramsey. Companion to Analytic Philosophy (2001).
  • Armendt, Brad  ed. Belief and Probability, special issue of Philosophical Studies, including Introduction (1995).
  • Armendt, Brad  Review of: Notes on Philosophy, Probability, and Mathematics, by F. P. Ramsey. Philosophical Review (1994).
  • Armendt, Brad  Dutch Books, Additivity, and Utility Theory. Philosophical Topics (1993).
  • Armendt, Brad  Dutch Strategies for Diachronic Rules: When Believers See the Sure Loss Coming. PSA 1992 (1993).
  • Armendt, Brad  Impartiality and Causal Decision Theory. PSA 1988 (1989).
  • Armendt, Brad  Conditional Preference and Causal Expected Utility. Causation in Decision, Belief Change, and Statistics (1988).
  • Armendt, Brad  A Foundation for Causal Decision Theory. Topoi (1986).
Fall 2018
Course NumberCourse Title
PHI 333Symbolic Logic
PHI 420Topics in Philosophy
PHI 565Probabilism
PHI 792Research
PHI 799Dissertation
Summer 2018
Course NumberCourse Title
HPS 322History of Science
Spring 2018
Course NumberCourse Title
HPS 313Probability, Evidence&Decision
PHI 313Probability, Evidence&Decis
HPS 314Philosophy of Science
PHI 314Philosophy of Science
PHI 792Research
PHI 799Dissertation
Fall 2017
Course NumberCourse Title
HPS 322History of Science
PHI 420Topics in Philosophy
PHI 525Rational Choice
PHI 792Research
PHI 799Dissertation
Summer 2017
Course NumberCourse Title
HPS 322History of Science
Spring 2017
Course NumberCourse Title
PHI 101Introduction to Philosophy
PHI 792Research
PHI 799Dissertation
Fall 2016
Course NumberCourse Title
PHI 313Probability, Evidence&Decis
HPS 313Probability, Evidence&Decision
PHI 333Symbolic Logic
PHI 792Research
PHI 799Dissertation
Summer 2016
Course NumberCourse Title
HPS 322History of Science
Spring 2016
Course NumberCourse Title
PHI 333Symbolic Logic
PHI 420Topics in Philosophy
PHI 526Evol and Strategic Interaction
PHI 799Dissertation
Fall 2015
Course NumberCourse Title
PHI 314Philosophy of Science
HPS 314Philosophy of Science
HPS 322History of Science
HPS 394Special Topics
HON 394Special Topics
PHI 790Reading and Conference
PHI 792Research
Summer 2015
Course NumberCourse Title
HPS 322History of Science
Spring 2015
Course NumberCourse Title
HPS 313Probability, Evidence&Decision
PHI 313Probability, Evidence&Decis
PHI 420Topics in Philosophy
PHI 525Rational Choice
PHI 599Thesis
PHI 790Reading and Conference
PHI 799Dissertation
Fall 2014
Course NumberCourse Title
PHI 101Introduction to Philosophy
HPS 314Philosophy of Science
PHI 314Philosophy of Science
PHI 792Research
PHI 799Dissertation
Summer 2014
Course NumberCourse Title
HPS 322History of Science
Spring 2014
Course NumberCourse Title
HPS 313Probability, Evidence&Decision
PHI 313Probability, Evidence&Decis
PHI 420Topics in Philosophy
PHI 493Honors Thesis
HPS 494Special Topics
PHI 591Seminar
HPS 598Special Topics
PHI 799Dissertation
Presentations
  • Brad Armendt. On an Impossibility Result for Best Systems Analysis. APA Pacific Division Meeting, San Francisco (Apr 2016).
  • Brad Armendt. Risks and Beliefs. Department of Logic and Philosophy of Science, University of California, Irvine (Nov 2013).
  • Brad Armendt. Imprecise Belief and What's at Stake. Models and Decisions: MST 2013, Ludwig Maximillian University, Munich (Apr 2013).
  • Brad Armendt. On Degrees of Incoherence and Dutch Books. APA Pacific Division Meeting, San Francisco (Apr 2013).
  • Brad Armendt. Pragmatic Interests and Imprecise Belief. PSA 2012 Biennial meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association, San Diego (Nov 2012).
  • Brad Armendt. Risk and Rational Choice. Formal Epistemology Workshop 2012, Munich (May 2012).
  • Brad Armendt. Questions. Origins of Xenophobia Workshop, ASU Center for Social Dynamics and Complexity (Apr 2012).
  • Brad Armendt. Belief Here, Doubt There-What do you Really Think?. Center for Philosophy of Science, University of Pittsburgh (Apr 2011).
  • Brad Armendt. Comments on Property Theories of Belief and Degrees of Belief. American Philosophical Association Pacific Division Meeting, San Diego (Apr 2011).
  • Brad Armendt. Stakes and beliefs and subjective probability. Biological Physics Chalk Talk, ASU (Oct 2010).
  • Brad Armendt. Understanding and Knowledge. American Philosophical Association Pacific Division Meeting, San Francisco (Mar 2010).
  • Armendt, Brad. Pragmatic Interests and the Strength of Belief. EpiConFor: Epistemology Context Formalism, Nancy, France (Nov 2009).
  • Armendt, Brad. Stakes and Beliefs. ASU Philosophy Colloquium (Oct 2009).
  • Brad Armendt. Shogenji on Degrees of Epistemic Justification. American Philosophical Association Eastern Division Meeting, Philadelphia (Dec 2008).
  • Brad Armendt. Beliefs, Believings, and What’s at Stake. Philosophy Department, California University of Pennsylvania (Nov 2008).
  • Armendt, Brad. Stakes and Beliefs. Laguna Workshop 2008, Laguna Beach (Mar 2008).
  • Armendt, Brad. Stake-Invariant Belief. Boulder Conference on Philosophy of Science (Oct 2007).
  • Armendt, Brad. Deliberation and the Logic of Partial Belief. Bled Conference on Contemporary Epistemology (May 2007).
  • Armendt, Brad. Philosophy and Normative Judgment. IHR Faculty Seminar (Feb 2007).
  • Armendt, Brad. Degrees of Belief and Dutch Books. Conference on Probability, Australian National University (Mar 2006).
  • Armendt, Brad. Coherence and Consistency. Prague International Colloquium: Dutch Book Arguments (Aug 2005).
  • Griffin, W, Schmidt, S, Armendt, Brad. Simulating Decisions of Water Use in Uncertain Times in the Southwestern US: An ABM of Strategies and Population Level Actions. North American Association for Computational Social and Organizational Science (Jun 2005).
Professional Associations

American Philosophical Association

Philosophy of Science Association

 

Graduate Faculties / Mentoring History

Graduate Faculties

Philosophy

History and Philosophy of Science

Complex Adaptive Systems Science

Human and Social Dimensions of Science and Technology

PhD Students, Dissertations Directed

JaeMin Jung, Epistemic Conservatism, Permissivism, and Disagreement, PhD Philosophy, 2016

Wesley Anderson, Advancing the Causal Theory of Natural Selection, PhD History and Philosophy of Science, 2016.

Alexander Novack, Cornering The Truth: A Defense Of Scientific Realism, PhD Philosophy, 2013.

Chong Ho Yu, Automated Causal Modeling, Latent Constructs, and Abductive Inference, PhD Philosophy 2007.

Service
  • Philosophy Director of Undergraduate Studies, (2016-2017)
  • Philosophy Curriculm Committee, chair (2016-2017)
  • Philosophical Review, refereeing (2016-2016)
  • Philosophy of Science, refereeing (2016-2016)
  • Analysis, refereeing (2016-2016)
  • Philosophical Studies, refereeing (2016-2016)
  • Philosophy of Science Association, Program Committee for PSA 2014 meeting (2013 - 2015)
  • Ergo, refereeing (2015-2015)
  • Synthese, refereeing (2015-2015)
  • Center for Social Dynamics and Complexity, Core Faculty, member (2011 - Present)
  • Philosophy Graduate Committee, member (2014 - 2016)
  • British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, refereeing (2014 - 2014)
  • Economics and Philosophy, refereeing (2014 - 2014)
  • Mind, refereeing (2014 - 2014)
  • NSF SES Science, Technology, and Society, Proposal reviewer (2014 - 2014)
  • Synthese, refereeing (2014 - 2014)
  • Personnel Committee, University Senate, chair (2012 - 2014)
  • University Senate Executive Committee, member (2012 - 2014)
  • CLAS Senate, senator (2011 - 2014)
  • University Senate, senator (2011 - 2014)
  • Erkenntnis, refereeing (2013 - 2013)
  • Journal of Ethics and Social Philosophy, refereeing (2013 - 2013)
  • Philosophical Papers, refereeing (2013 - 2013)
  • Philosophy of Science, refereeing (2013 - 2013)
  • Synthese, refereeing (2013 - 2013)
  • Personnel Committee, University Senate, chair (2012 - 2013)
  • Program Committee, MST 2013 Models and Decisions Conference, LMU, Munich, member (2012 - 2013)
  • Erkenntnis, refereeing (2012 - 2012)
  • Philosophy of Science, refereeing (2012 - 2012)
  • Synthese, refereeing (2012 - 2012)
  • Oxford University Press, reviewer (2011 - 2011)
  • Philosophical Quarterly, refereeing (2011 - 2011)
  • Philosophy of Science, refereeing (2011 - 2011)
  • Springer Publishing, reviewer (2011 - 2011)
  • Synthese, refereeing (2011 - 2011)
  • SOLS Undergraduate Programs Committee, member (2010 - 2010)
  • Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic, refereeing (2010 - 2010)
  • Philosophy of Science, refereeing (2010 - 2010)
  • Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, refereeing (2010 - 2010)
  • Cambridge University Press, manuscript reviewing (2009 - 2009)
  • Philosophy of Science, refereeing (2009 - 2009)
  • CLAS Undergraduate Research Scholarship in the Natural Sciences Faculty Selection Committee, member (2009 - 2009)
  • Philosophy Curriculum Committee, member (2007 - 2009)
  • British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, refereeing (2008 - 2008)
  • CLAS Undergraduate Research Scholarship in the Natural Sciences Faculty Selection Committee, member (2008 - 2008)
  • Economics and Philosophy, refereeing (2008 - 2008)
  • Nous, refereeing (2008 - 2008)
  • Philosophical Studies, refereeing (2008 - 2008)
  • SOLS Undergraduate Programs Committee, member (2007 - 2008)
  • British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, refereeing (2007)
  • Economics and Philosophy, refereeing (2007)
  • NSF, Proposal reviewer (2007)
  • Philosophical Studies, refereeing (2007)
  • Philosophy of Science, refereeing (2007)
  • Philosophy of Science Association, Program Committee for PSA 2006 meeting (2005 - 2007)
  • CLAS Science and Society requirement implementation committee, member (2006 - 2007)
  • Philosophy Colloquium Series, organizer (2005 - 2007)
  • University of Sydney, External examiner, PhD (2007)
  • Journal of the History of Biology, refereeing (2006)
  • Synthese, refereeing (2006)
  • CLAS Committee on Committees, chair (2005 - 2006)
  • Economics and Philosophy, refereeing (2005)
  • Philosophy of Science, refereeing (2005)
  • History and Philosophy of Science program, Director (2004 - 2005)
  • American Philosophical Association, refereeing (2004)
  • Journal of the History of Biology, refereeing (2004)
  • Journal of Social Philosophy, refereeing (2003)
  • Academic Chairs and Directors Council, Steering Committee Member (1999 - 2002)
  • CLAS Task Force on Humanities, Member (2002)
Expertise Areas
Philosophy
Decision Making
Philosophy of Science
Signaling
History of Science